Darryl rightly pointed out that the 65
year filling up the steppe period was way too short and we either
needed to adjust the numbers of Celts upwards or take a longer time
to fill the area of the steppes. With the time compression between
Garnia World and Earth, we can get a lot more settlers a lot earlier,
Darryl had very early on suggested that the Helvetii get brought over
after Caesar defeats them and forces them to leave Gaul for their
homelands. I was initially kind of against that idea, but I have
changed my mind; if even 1/2 of the surviving Helvetii make it to
Garnia World that means 60,000 more settlers on top of my
conservative 120,000 that had been collected from all Celtic nations,
and these Helvetii are supplied with wagons and grain; and these
Helvetii are showing up within a year of elapsed Garnia time of the
original settlers.
On top of that, Caesar's naked
imperialist aggression in Gaul ultimately is estimated to have
dropped the population by 40% from 5 million to 3 million, with
roughly 1 million of those being taken as slaves to Roman markets and
the other 1 million killed. These are not Caesar's numbers, these are
the numbers of modern historians and archaeologists. Not all of those
dead would have been battle casualties, some would have just been the
victims of the devastation of war; if we migrate a conservative 10%
of those dead to Garnia, that's another 100,000 people coming in
during that 7 year period on Earth which is a little over 2 years on
Garnia. Presumably they aren't all coming at once, so it should not
be too hard to assimilate a few hundred refugees with their goods
they could carry into the well planned community of the original
settlers at each small migration. This brings our total up to, during
the initial migratory period, about 280,000 people, mainly Gauls at
this point.
Now, I was thinking that the steppes
would have to be full before the Celts would run into the Sidhe
empire and decide to conquer them, but Darryl pointed out something
important that I missed. Dun Math, the holy city of the Druids and
near the site of migrations, is on the southern steppes, closer to
the eastern end than the middle or the west, and people are going to
spread out probably concentrically from Dun Math, along the paths of
least resistance. That means they are going to discover the
heartlands of the Sidhe Empire, AKA modern Garnia and it's rich green
lands and want it soon, probably their explorer types will have found
it within the first generation of getting there, but with the steppe
so much easier to conquer and so full of game, and the Sidhe having
their powerful Illusions and Charms, the first few generations
probably don't stand much of a chance against the Sidhe.
But, there will be a great influx of
refugees again during the Roman invasion of Britain, in 3 main waves
starting in 43 AD. I can't seem to find any good source of pre-Roman
population figures for Britain with a quick Google search, but it
does say that 70,000 Britons died during Boudicca's revolt some 30
years later. I think that between 43 and 96 AD Earth time we should
be able to pull out an additional 100,000 People; that's 34.3 to 52
years in Garnia after the initial migrations to make room for another
3 major migrations, of about 33,000 people each, assuming they're all
roughly equal in size. The British language is pretty much the same
as Gaulish, so there is no real linguistic barrier, I am thinking the
original Celt-Iberians, Picts and Gaels and our possible Ligurians
are starting to feel a little pressured.
But we still have a common cause,
religion, culture and similar languages. 34 years in would mean that
a second generation had already been born here and a lot of the
original settlers, the adults anyway, were dying off; at 52 years in
we'll be lucky to have any original settlers left and a third
generation is starting to be born here. The Sidhe are also starting
to lose their advantage in magic, Human magic may be raw and brutal,
a little wild and prone to mistakes, but we don't live long enough to
test it like they do. We've figured out how to counter their spells
and whipped up some mighty offensive stuff of our own while we were
hunting the disorganized Humanoids and other Monsters that live on
the steppe.
Now I am going to do some math. The
first 2 1/2 years bring in 280,000 people, they have a conservative
population growth of 75%/20 year period. Some have asked if that was
too high, I counter with the argument that the Celts have both a
technological edge, with horses, the wheel, and iron weapons, not to
mention agriculture, fishing and a host of other skills (including at
least one form of literacy); but on top of that, most all of the
Celts magic on Earth was dedicated to one of three things- either
making them victorious in battle; or making them more fertile, their
women, their land, their flocks and herds, abundance was the order of
the day; or healing, which is going to keep more women from dying in
child birth and more men and women from dying in battle, it will
probably lower infant mortality too. So, 75%/20 year generation
population growth it is.
490,000 after 20 years in Garnia World,
857,500 would be their natural population growth, but they are going
to get an influx of 66,666 Britons in this time frame too, half of
which will have the time to breed here too, bringing our total to
949166 at 40 years in Garnia. The next generation, 60 years in will
see the last wave of Britons, but they'll be early enough to count
for breeding, so our 60 year population will be 1,719,375. The Celts
are one of the few societies in the world that were "top-heavy"
on the warrior caste, and the steppe life is only going to make this
worse, like the Huns or Mongols or Bulgars, pretty much every able
bodied person CAN be mobilized for war, and they can easily do 10%; 171,937 would represent the nobles and their warbands alone, the
rough steppe life means I think they could easily count on pulling in
some pretty tough non-professional warriors too, say another 10% of
the total population, mostly male in both cases, but not exclusively.
60 years in can be the time of Gwaryn
the High King and the Sidhe War. I don't see the Sidhe going down
that easy, and I don't see Gwaryn living to see their ultimate
defeat, much like Genghis Khan didn't live to see the defeat of the
Sung. But he will live long enough to lead his people off the
steppes, and into the most fertile farmlands in the world, he will be
remembered as a great warrior King, and I think that, in the end,
elective Kingship will lose out to the line of Gwaryn; but not until
after the Sidhe are defeated and the fallen Elves enslaved.
I also find it interesting, in a good
way, that the time compression keeps us closer to the ancient world.
Now we don't have to find excuses to make Ancient Romans a credible
threat, everyone else is, more or less, on the same page technology
wise, or far away and without the technology to come over and
interact.
Right, I am still aware that I need to place the other missing Humans in the timeline, and do a timeline for non-Humans. I am working on it.
ReplyDeletefor now a simple +1
ReplyDelete